Well last week wasn't a great effort for my predictions but at least I was in the positive as I went 3-2 in the five games. Unfortunately it appears I prematurely jumped on the Texas bandwagon and am now considering leaping off of it as it's slowing down greatly following their beatdown at the hands of Oklahoma.
The two big questions I have to ask myself here before looking at the spreads and making my picks are whether or not I can possibly pick against Bill Snyder and K-State again and how high can the KU vs Oklahoma spread actually be.
So down below are the games, their spreads and my predictions. Results article will happen following all the contests with my cumulative record as well, no matter how bad it turns out. Please feel free to make any comment you want on how you think the games will turn out in relation to the spread or how you feel about my choices.
Please note the spreads I use come from the website www.vegasinsider.com and I try to use the most common spread listed amongst the different sports books assuming there is a variance.
MY RECORD AGAINST SPREAD THIS SEASON: 15-19
Baylor Bears at Texas A&M Aggies - A&M is a 9.5 point favorite
Saturday - 11:00 Central - FX
MY PREDICTION: This appears to be another game in the Big 12 this year that will have a video game type final score as neither team fields much of a defense it appears. The Aggies will be looking to gain momentum and try to make another late season surge while Baylor looks to get a road win in likely their last trip into Kyle Field for the foreseeable future. An initial look at the spread and my first thought is that it is quite high especially with Robert Griffin III leading the team getting the points. Simply for the reason that Griffin will be at QB and Kendall Wright appears to be healthy I will take A&M to win the game but Baylor to keep them from covering this spread.
Iowa State Cyclones at Missouri Tigers - Missouri favored by 14.5 points
Saturday - 1:00 Central - No TV
MY PREDICTION: This is a matchup of two teams who are both desperately in need of a win to raise their confidence levels. The Tigers are coming off a loss at K-State where they looked pathetic and sloppy for large portions of it while Iowa State has now had back to back blowout losses after starting the season 3-0. While I think Iowa State will come out and play hard in this one I think this is a game where Missouri gets a boost playing in front of their home crowd and is out to prove a point. Expect James Franklin to play much sharper this week and Gary Pinkel to have his team playing smarter football. I like the Tigers to win this game and cover the spread.
Oklahoma State at Texas Longhorns - Cowboys favored by 7.5 points
Saturday 2:30 Central - ABC
MY PREDICTION: Coming off an embarrassing loss at the hands of OU the Longhorns have to buck up quickly as Brandon Weeden and the #6 ranked Cowboys come to Austin. The Cowboys are coming off their game last weekend vs Kansas where they put up 59 points in the first half and the backups got plenty of playing time. While this one should be much closer it has the possibility of another large OSU win. Landry Jones threw for 367 yards and 3 td's last weekend vs the Longhorns and Weeden and Justin Blackmon along with Hubert Anyiam might be an even better passing combination than Jones and Ryan Broyles along with Kenny Stills. I expect this game to be close early but as the game progresses the Cowboys start to pull away and Mike Gundy lets the team run it up somewhat to impress the voters, so OSU win and cover.
Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders - Tech is a 3 point favorite.
Saturday - 6:00 Central - FSN
MY PREDICTION: Another week and yet another game where the Wildcats will enter as the underdog which I am guessing suits Bill Snyder and his staff just fine. K-State is obviously a flawed team but one that doesn't beat itself and is obviously very well coached. Texas Tech is a hard team to get a read on as they struggled at home three weeks ago against a bad Nevada team and then fell behind the Kansas Jayhawks 20-0 in their Big 12 opener before racing back to win that game. They were competitive in last weekends game against Texas A&M as well but ended up losing by five points. I have picked against Snyder and K-State for three weeks in a row and am tempted to do it again especially with the memory of the 66-14 thrashing that K-State suffered the last time they traveled to Lubbock. This appears to be a different time though so this week I am going to pick K-State to win this game outright and for Tech then to obviously not cover.
Oklahoma Sooners at Kansas Jayhawks - Sooners favored by 35 points
Saturday - 8:15 Central - ESPN 2
MY PREDICTION: I feel bad for Turner Gill as he and his team come off a game where they got just destroyed against Oklahoma State in seriously embarrassing fashion but now he comes back for a "home" game where the majority of the crowd will be wearing crimson and cream. Even though this is just a crazy high spread for two BCS teams playing each other there is just no way I can pick KU at this point. I am going with OU to win and cover.
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