As most of you know, tomorrow night is the NBA Draft. Finally, after weeks of analysis full of redundant lingo (the yearly progression from the NCAA tournament: "student athlete" becomes "testing the waters," which becomes "upside," so on and so forth). While John Wall is the consensus number one (and Evan Turner, by the mock drafts at least, is the consensus second pick), there are a lot of differences between experts opinions. I sampled HoopsHype, DraftExpress, NBADraft.net, Fox's Jeff Goodman, SI's Ian Thomsen, Rush the Court, ESPN's Chad Ford, and SB Nation compatriot Ridiculous Upside for the averages. I also included John Hollinger's mock draft (but it had too many outliers to be put in the formula) and my own mock draft.
See the table after the jump.
To calculate the "Consensus" column, I gave point values for each pick (300 for first, 290 for second, etc.) and totaled the points for all the drafts.
| ESPN* | Hoops Hype | Draft Express | NBADraft.net | Jeff Goodman | SI | Ridiculous Upside | RTC | Consensus | Hollinger | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Wall | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2400 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Evan Turner | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2320 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Derrick Favors | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2190 | 5 | 2 |
| 4 | Wesley Johnson | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2160 | 11 | 5 |
| 5 | DeMarcus Cousins | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2100 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Greg Monroe | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2010 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Al-Farouq Aminu | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1870 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | Ed Davis | 8 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 1760 | 18 | 9 |
| 9 | Ekpe Udoh | 13 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 10 | 1700 | N/A | 13 |
| 10 | Luke Babbitt | 11 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 9 | 1510 | 8 | 14 |
| 11 | Xavier Henry | 12 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 1490 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Patrick Patterson | 17 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 1480 | N/A | 12 |
| 13 | Gordon Hayward | 10 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 1470 | 15 | 7 |
| 14 | Paul George | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 1470 | 9 | 18 |
| 15 | Cole Aldrich | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 1450 | 17 | 11 |
| 16 | Avery Bradley | 16 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 19 | 1160 | 19 | 15 |
| 17 | Eric Bledsoe | 15 | 18 | 19 | 28 | 13 | 19 | 14 | 25 | 970 | 20 | 24 |
| 18 | Hassan Whiteside | 19 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 830 | N/A | 19 |
| 19 | Daniel Orton | 18 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 15 | 31 | 21 | 800 | 13 | 16 |
| 20 | Larry Sanders | N/A | 16 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 790 | 16 | 26 |
| 21 | Damion James | 20 | 20 | 16 | N/A | 19 | N/A | 24 | 20 | 670 | 12 | 29 |
| 22 | Solomon Alabi | N/A | 19 | 20 | N/A | 21 | 26 | 18 | 18 | 640 | N/A | 20 |
| 23 | Kevin Seraphin | N/A | 22 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 620 | 31 | 22 |
| 24 | James Anderson | N/A | 30 | 30 | 17 | 17 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 610 | 14 | 17 |
| 25 | Elliot Williams | N/A | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 22 | N/A | 29 | 400 | N/A | 25 |
| 26 | Jordan Crawford | N/A | 27 | 27 | 30 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 390 | 25 | 23 |
| 27 | Dominique Jones | N/A | 24 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 23 | N/A | 24 | 370 | 29 | 21 |
| 28 | Quincy Pondexter | N/A | 29 | 29 | N/A | N/A | 25 | 25 | 28 | 190 | 26 | 28 |
| 29 | Devin Ebanks** | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18 | 29 | N/A | N/A | 30 | 160 | N/A | N/A |
| 30 | Tibor Pleiss | N/A | 26 | 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100 | N/A | N/A |
| 31 | Gani Lawal | N/A | N/A | N/A | 29 | 28 | N/A | 26 | N/A | 100 | N/A | 30 |
* Note that Chad Ford's numbers do not actually come from his Mock Draft but his Top 20 2010 Prospects.
** Because of NBADraft.net's outlying pick, I think Ebanks is a little overrated by the formula.
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