Kansas’ Josh Selby Declares For NBA Draft
by Evan Pfaff on Apr 14, 2011 10:12 PM CDT
in Kansas Jayhawks Basketball
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For anyone that could put 2 and 2 together it should come as no surprise that Kansas Jayhawks freshman Josh Selby tweeted today that he is declaring for the NBA draft.
Selby was the No. 1 rated high school senior last season and went to KU with the unstated knowledge that he'd leave Lawrence after one season.
After sitting out the first nine games of the season due to NCAA suspension, Selby burst onto the scene with a 21 point outburst - including the game winning 3-pointer - in KU's victory over USC in December.
That game turned out to be his best of the season.
Selby played well for the first 13 games of his career, registering double figure scoring outputs in nine of those games. Then he suffered a foot injury that forced him to miss three games, and he never returned to form.
After the foot injury, Selby's high scoring output was a nine point effort in an NCAA tournament win against Richmond. During the final 13 games of the season Selby was held scoreless more times - three - than he registered at least seven points in a game.
Everyone is free to make their own decisions, and many times familial responsibilities outweigh logical choices, but Selby really didn't prove anything in his one year in the Big 12 that would make me think he is NBA ready. But as we know, NBA GMs pay a pretty penny for potential, and Selby definitely has that.
Selby has been in Las Vegas since KU was knocked out of the tournament by VCU and missed the team's basketball banquet earlier this week.
For the season, Selby averaged 7.9 points, 2.2 assists and 2.2 rebounds per game while shooting 37.3 percent from the field and 36.2 percent from behind the arc.
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Some good reads
Selby backing up his decision against guys Tweeting that he made the wrong choice: @joshselby32
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I agree w/ Selby.
People forget he was the #1 Rivals prospect for a reason. Didn’t fit in at Kansas (too deep, didn’t have time to learn the offense). I’m not saying he’s guaranteed to be a success in the league next year, but what did he have to gain by coming back and not starting again next year? People are ripping him for going, but if he falls into the second round (or even bottom of the first), I think he’ll be a huge asset to whoever drafts him.
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by Matt Patton on Apr 14, 2011 11:06 PM CDT up reply actions
I didn't see anything that made me think
he was really ready for the NBA but I think the risk/reward of coming back to KU might be too high. If he leaves now he is sure to be drafted, likely late 1st round I am guessing. If he gets that its guaranteed money, if he came back and had another down year then the shine is off of him and his stock drops down even more.
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Of course, he'd only be a sophomore next year.
The “if he comes back and fails” argument has yet to make sense to me. If that’s actually a possibility, what chance does the kid have in the NBA?
Glad I came, just wish I hadn't stayed so long.
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Willie Warren
could have left after Frosh year and been maybe lottery pick but surefire 1st rounder. He stayed, had a disappointing year and yes attitude issues that maybe Selby doesn’t have but still the shine was off Warren somewhat. If he came back and had a somewhat “bad” year like last year the scouts are going to question him alot more than now since they can say a myriad of issues caused the lack of performance that was expected: suspension, foot injury, deferring to Morris twins. Next year if he came back there would be no excuses.
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No excuses
But he also wouldn’t be in that much better of a situation. Kansas isn’t going to change its system for him. Always going to be team oriented (with a lot of inside-out play). He’s also going to be fighting for time with a decently deep backcourt (somehow KU’s backcourt is always deep, despite losing players all the time).
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by Matt Patton on Apr 19, 2011 10:06 PM CDT up reply actions
You're ignoring the premise of my comment.
If the guy isn’t going to improve his draft stock next year, he’ll be exposed in his workouts, camp, and the first few weeks of the season. The only way that argument makes sense is if you believe he’s all smoke and mirrors and needs a guaranteed contract this year.
Glad I came, just wish I hadn't stayed so long.
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Counter argument
KU loses: The Morris Twins, Mornignstar, Reed, Little.
That’s a good chunk of their offense. They still have players, but on the perimeter it would have been Tyshawn, Elijah, Selby and McLemore. You’d assume Selby would start and gain a lot more exposure/experience.
So the way I see it, NBAdraft.net has him as a second rounder. that means no guaranteed contract and a small initial contract. Come back one more year and work your way into the guaranteed contract. Honestly, he can’t really drop much further and the gamble could net him millions.
This isn’t Perry Jones returning. Jones really can only hurt his stock as he is already projected a top 5 pick. Selby can only HELP his.
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Yeah but...
he clearly wasn’t happy at Kansas. I’m not sure another year would make him anymore “the man” on that team (able to create for himself). KU will definitely be a different team w/o everyone, but they’re still pretty stacked in the backcourt. I’ll be shocked if Selby’s workouts don’t convince some team to grab him at the bottom of the first round.
He’s definitely a risk, there’s no doubt about that. But if he starts to showcase the intangibles, I think he’s much better than he played this year in Lawrence.
His KU resume reads like a list of rain checks: injury (broken hand) in preseason practice, suspension, injury (stress fracture in the foot) in the second half of the season. He’s not a spot-up shooter in my opinion. I’m very interested to see how his career develops.
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